Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.038727 0.041814 0.045054 0.048714 0.052740 0.057039 0.061987
2025-05-04 0.033604 0.037935 0.042733 0.048464 0.055149 0.062736 0.072043
2025-05-11 0.030194 0.035232 0.041043 0.048285 0.057129 0.067656 0.081254
2025-05-18 0.027605 0.033071 0.039581 0.047979 0.058628 0.071822 0.089624
2025-05-25 0.025648 0.031418 0.038480 0.047865 0.060160 0.075938 0.098075
2025-06-01 0.023772 0.029673 0.037067 0.047145 0.060728 0.078705 0.104815
2025-06-08 0.022085 0.028024 0.035619 0.046205 0.060839 0.080752 0.110598
2025-06-15 0.020799 0.026796 0.034612 0.045737 0.061486 0.083488 0.117480
2025-06-22 0.019681 0.025710 0.033705 0.045310 0.062106 0.086159 0.124400
2025-06-29 0.018527 0.024501 0.032548 0.044431 0.061977 0.087672 0.129613
2025-07-06 0.017945 0.024041 0.032386 0.044939 0.063874 0.092283 0.139997
2025-07-13 0.017254 0.023385 0.031903 0.044931 0.064968 0.095706 0.148716
2025-07-20 0.016773 0.023009 0.031805 0.045496 0.066986 0.100739 0.160622
2025-07-27 0.016092 0.022308 0.031195 0.045241 0.067694 0.103709 0.169259
2025-08-03 0.015487 0.021687 0.030666 0.045070 0.068507 0.106881 0.178511
2025-08-10 0.014897 0.021060 0.030092 0.044788 0.069101 0.109702 0.187352
2025-08-17 0.014395 0.020539 0.029651 0.044682 0.069967 0.113026 0.197409
2025-08-24 0.013790 0.019835 0.028894 0.044020 0.069839 0.114578 0.204191
2025-08-31 0.013176 0.019092 0.028042 0.043154 0.069300 0.115343 0.209468
2025-09-07 0.012701 0.018545 0.027473 0.042723 0.069484 0.117417 0.217544
2025-09-14 0.012263 0.018038 0.026944 0.042330 0.069703 0.119556 0.225936
2025-09-21 0.011760 0.017409 0.026194 0.041521 0.069119 0.120126 0.231048
2025-09-28 0.011555 0.017245 0.026188 0.041989 0.070886 0.125315 0.246633